Week 7 saw several monstrous offensive weeks.
The highest scorers were a pair of twins (is that redundant?). Michael Cuddyer had 57 points and Joe Mauer dropped 56!
Right behind them were Mark Reynolds with 55 and, with 52 points was...... Jason Bartlett(!!??).
Fierce Deuce managed to sign Bartlett in he middle of his explosion, but did not receive the benefit of all tose points. Bartlett will surely return to earth now that he's drawn some fantasy attention, and because Fierce Deuce sucks.
Monday, May 25, 2009
Trade #48
Mike Greenwell Power trade Carlos N. Lee and Carlos Pena to
Zarley Zalapski and Friends for Sean Marshall and Joey
Votto.
They also swap 13 and 26 round picks in favor of MGP.
Zarley Zalapski and Friends for Sean Marshall and Joey
Votto.
They also swap 13 and 26 round picks in favor of MGP.
Friday, May 22, 2009
Can We All Agree
Randy Johnson is "shy" of 300 wins. Players are not "shy" of the cycle when they finish without the homer or the triple.
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Memorable Chatter
"You all have special ladies in your life, but only one fo you is walking your girlfriend's poodle."
- Fenn, recognizing Oleyer is way out in front in the "who will get engaged next" list between him Ricky and Rico.
- Fenn, recognizing Oleyer is way out in front in the "who will get engaged next" list between him Ricky and Rico.
Sunday, May 10, 2009
RPs, an Expose
Owners had discussed the randomness that goes into drafting relievers when compared with the results. I was bored and being lazy on Sunday, and playing on excel is fun, so I crunched some numbers on he top 25 scoring RPs.
The top 10 scoring RPs as of the young season so far are as follows(in order):
Broxton, Jonathan RP LA
Francisco, Frank RP TEX
Franklin, Ryan RP STL
Rodriguez, Francisco J. RP NYM
Bell, Heath RP SD
Cordero, Francisco RP CIN
Wilson, Brian RP SF
Bailey, Andrew SP OAK
Papelbon, Jonathan RP BOS
Qualls, Chad RP ARI
AMongst these guys, only Papelbon (4) and K-rod (7) were drafted in the top 10 rounds. Only Broxton(14) and Qualls(19) were additionally drafted in the top 20. Fransisco was taken at 31 and Franklin was not drafted (assigned a value of 36). The top 4 RPs avergae a salary of 22. The top 10 releivers average a salary of 22.5. Stopping at Papelbon, the top RPs average 22.9 and RPs 5-8 average 23.6.
The second group of RPs are here:
Fuentes, Brian RP ANA
Soria, Joakim RP KC
Jenks, Bobby RP CHW
Gonzalez, Mike RP ATL
Hawkins, LaTroy RP HOU
Lindstrom, Matt RP FLA
Downs, Scott RP TOR
Wuertz, Michael RP OAK
Nathan, Joe RP MIN
Frasor, Jason RP TOR
This group averages a salary of 26.9 due in large part to 5 guys that went undrafted (highlighted). (It should be noted here that RP elligible sarters were removed from this list and any calculations.) We find another top ten releiver in Nathan, however, near the bottom of this group. Dividing this group into two halves the respective mean salaries are 23.4 and 30.4.
The next group of 5 RPs are.
Soriano, Rafael RP ATL
Wood, Kerry RP CLE
Rodney, Fernando RP DET
Madson, Ryan RP PHI
Rivera, Mariano RP NYY
Three of these players were not drafted, and one was drafted in the top ten rounds (Rivera, 8). Their average salary is 26.9. Looking at the bottom 10 of the 25 RPs, they have an average salary of 28.6. All 25 pitchers had an average salary of 25.2.
What does this mean? Well, it's still very early in the season. Several high ranking RPs have had fluky W totals, and some are not here due to injury. Also 3 of these pitchers were keepers, so their salaries are (essentally by definition) unrealistically high (numerically speaking). Nonetheless, early returns show that high scroing RPs, when broken into small groups, do not show salary patterns that deviate significantly from their overall average (ie, RP average salaries are condensed within a small range). There is also no clear trend from the numbers overall. Generally, salaries become higher as production goes down (as one would expct) but in some pockets the numbers go backwards, including the first two groups of five, and the last two groups of five.
Of course the relative randomness between RPs' productions and their draft positions can't be known until it is compared to other positions, but the condensed nature of the salaries is likely not going to be reproduced for any other positions. In other words, owner seem to have collectively adopted a strategy of taking most relievers in the late teens and beyond, where as hitters and SPs fill up the top ten rounds. The simple fact that relievers are essentially ignored for nearly half of the draft is something to be facored into the unpredictability of the position, versus a simple comparison between production ranking and order of selection.
The top 10 scoring RPs as of the young season so far are as follows(in order):
Broxton, Jonathan RP LA
Francisco, Frank RP TEX
Franklin, Ryan RP STL
Rodriguez, Francisco J. RP NYM
Bell, Heath RP SD
Cordero, Francisco RP CIN
Wilson, Brian RP SF
Bailey, Andrew SP OAK
Papelbon, Jonathan RP BOS
Qualls, Chad RP ARI
AMongst these guys, only Papelbon (4) and K-rod (7) were drafted in the top 10 rounds. Only Broxton(14) and Qualls(19) were additionally drafted in the top 20. Fransisco was taken at 31 and Franklin was not drafted (assigned a value of 36). The top 4 RPs avergae a salary of 22. The top 10 releivers average a salary of 22.5. Stopping at Papelbon, the top RPs average 22.9 and RPs 5-8 average 23.6.
The second group of RPs are here:
Fuentes, Brian RP ANA
Soria, Joakim RP KC
Jenks, Bobby RP CHW
Gonzalez, Mike RP ATL
Hawkins, LaTroy RP HOU
Lindstrom, Matt RP FLA
Downs, Scott RP TOR
Wuertz, Michael RP OAK
Nathan, Joe RP MIN
Frasor, Jason RP TOR
This group averages a salary of 26.9 due in large part to 5 guys that went undrafted (highlighted). (It should be noted here that RP elligible sarters were removed from this list and any calculations.) We find another top ten releiver in Nathan, however, near the bottom of this group. Dividing this group into two halves the respective mean salaries are 23.4 and 30.4.
The next group of 5 RPs are.
Soriano, Rafael RP ATL
Wood, Kerry RP CLE
Rodney, Fernando RP DET
Madson, Ryan RP PHI
Rivera, Mariano RP NYY
Three of these players were not drafted, and one was drafted in the top ten rounds (Rivera, 8). Their average salary is 26.9. Looking at the bottom 10 of the 25 RPs, they have an average salary of 28.6. All 25 pitchers had an average salary of 25.2.
What does this mean? Well, it's still very early in the season. Several high ranking RPs have had fluky W totals, and some are not here due to injury. Also 3 of these pitchers were keepers, so their salaries are (essentally by definition) unrealistically high (numerically speaking). Nonetheless, early returns show that high scroing RPs, when broken into small groups, do not show salary patterns that deviate significantly from their overall average (ie, RP average salaries are condensed within a small range). There is also no clear trend from the numbers overall. Generally, salaries become higher as production goes down (as one would expct) but in some pockets the numbers go backwards, including the first two groups of five, and the last two groups of five.
Of course the relative randomness between RPs' productions and their draft positions can't be known until it is compared to other positions, but the condensed nature of the salaries is likely not going to be reproduced for any other positions. In other words, owner seem to have collectively adopted a strategy of taking most relievers in the late teens and beyond, where as hitters and SPs fill up the top ten rounds. The simple fact that relievers are essentially ignored for nearly half of the draft is something to be facored into the unpredictability of the position, versus a simple comparison between production ranking and order of selection.
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