Monday, August 10, 2009

Playoff Picture Update: 18 Down, 3 To Go

Not surprisingly, week 18 saw the 4 leading teams topple the 4 crappy teams, and the polaroid picture that is the '09 playoffs come further into focus.

It's official: Chuck Norris Death Machine and Mike Greenwell Power have been mathematically eliminated (joining Fierce Deuce), and Zarley Zalapski and Friends and Ole' Bullshit have clinched playoff spots (joining Bangkok Dangerous). Neither Here nor Oleyer got one step closer to clinching their own spot by winning in week 18 while the Hunter Killers lost (so really two steps closer). (Olyere also leads the point race by 70 points.)

With 6 team/games remaining, Oleyer's magic number is 2. It will take a miracle for HK to avoid the loser's tournament.

Week 19 Playoff Implicating Matchups:
Ole' Bullshit at Neither Here Nor Oleyer
Hunter Killers at Chuck Norris Death Machine

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Dropped, The Deuce

At 4-13 on the season the Deuce have been mathematically eliminated from playoff contention, as Neither Here Nor Oleyer currently sits in the last spot with 9 wins.

The rest of the playoff picture breaks down as follows:

Chuck Norris Death Machine: Hanging by a Thread

CNDM must win out to finish at 9-12 on the season. Oleyer must lose out to finish with the same record. However, Oleyer losing out would ensure at least one more win for the Hunter Killers bringing them to a minimum of 9 wins,as well. Thus, CNDM needs Oleyer to lose every game from here out and for HK to lose every game, except their matchup with Oleyer, AND then beat both teams in the overall points tie-breaker. CNDM is trailing those teams by about 300 and 120 points, respectively, right now. "A snowball's chance in hell" seems overly-optimistic.

Mike Greenwell Power: Hanging by a Burning Piece of Rope

As it stands now, MGP trails the points race to Oleyer and HK by about 400 and 250 points respectively. Viewing this hole as insurmountable, MGP will need to win out to get to 10 wins and take the tie-breaker out of play. Unfortunately, the schedule is not kind, MGP plays the current top 3 teams in the standings in its final 4 games (though the 4th game is against the terrible Fierce Deuce) and doesn't get a head to head matchup with HK or Oleyer.

It's gonna take a Miracle

Hunter Killers: Hot Damn, Walt is in this thing!

At this moment, HK is 1 game and 160 points back of Oleyer. Neither deficit is insurmountable. The week 20 head to head matchup between these two teams is likely to be a must-win for Walt as this week Oleyer is a heavy favorite against the Deuce and HK is matching up with the first place Bangkok Dangerous. But, as long as Walt picks up one out of his next two (he'll be favored in week 19 v. CNDM), week 20 will mean a whole lot.

Neither Here Nor Oleyer: The Driver's Seat of the Playoff Wagon

The points lead, and a matchup with the negligently uncompetitive Fierce Deuce has Oleyer poised to seal up that final playoff spot. Odds are good that Oleyer will still have at least a one game lead going into week 20. That will make the game versus HK a potential knockout punch, without a risk of losing hold of the final playoff spot (assuming no flip-flopping in the points). Nonetheless, this could come down to the wire, as Oleyer has cooled off, losing his last two games.

But don't bet against the reigning champs.
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